Unruly-Dark
0x19bcde88fb71b711e12cefc395f1d19abfa94834
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$5.1K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
3045 shares @ 50.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$3.0K
$1.5K
- NO
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
2359 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$2.4K
$860.36
- YES
[Single Market] Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
809 shares @ 19.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$808.85
$648.59
- NO
[Single Market] Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
136 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$136.30
$19.31
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
44 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$43.67
$0.91
- REPUBLICAN
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 56.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$18.84
$8.14
- NO
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2023$15.00
$0.15
- YES
[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
2062 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-42.76
- YES
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
792 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals)
685 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2023$0.00
$-162.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$50.42Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus "Chuy" Garcia win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$145.57Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31?$0.66Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?$0.00Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$145.85Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMGovernor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMFormula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Canadian Grand Prix, Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMDid Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMDid Jaan Tallinn bail out SBF?$39.88Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 270: Who will win Vieira vs. Turman?$0.73Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEM2022 Open Championship: Will Cameron Smith win?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMFormula 1: Which team will collect more points at the 2022 Austrian GP, Red Bull or Ferrari?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMSenate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?$0.00Feb 22, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMHow much will “Scream” (2022) gross domestically on opening weekend?$0.98Feb 22, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSenate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?$0.00Feb 22, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?$0.00Feb 22, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $14.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".