Angry-Basis
0x19c322e90add0116b8592ad37d21289b0ebd0bdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-845.92
Realised
$85.58
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
1200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Mike Waltz for Defense Secretary?
765 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Robert O’Brien for Defense Secretary?
636 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
603 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?
468 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-103.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?
426 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.47
- YES
Will Trump nominate Joni Ernst for Defense Secretary?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
397 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Tom Cotton for Defense Secretary?
345 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Mike Gallagher for Defense Secretary?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$0.76Jul 18, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.40Jul 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$3.03Jul 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.04Jul 18, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.05Jul 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.05Jul 18, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.88Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$8.04Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$2.06Jul 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$1.04Jul 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$4.10Jul 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?$1.03Jul 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$3.07Jul 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.04Jul 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?$1.03Jul 7, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?$1.03Jul 7, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?$1.03Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?$1.03Jul 6, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$2.05Jul 5, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.