Wordy-Seminar-Pita
0x19caaa3e1a28102be049db2e3810df618a1459ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$143.01
Total PnL
$-33.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 26?
29 shares @ 36.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$26.54
$16.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?
21 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$20.98
$11.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?
19 shares @ 40.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$19.24
$11.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?
18 shares @ 59.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$13.04
$2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?
26 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.91
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?
21 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.51
$0.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?
15 shares @ 59.7¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$7.05
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?
12 shares @ 44.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$5.94
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?
16 shares @ 38.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.52
$-0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?
16 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.36
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 26?$3.04Jun 26, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 25?$10.00Jun 26, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 26?$0.00Jun 26, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?$2.46Jun 26, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$0.80Jun 26, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?$1.00Jun 26, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?$1.96Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?$3.00Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 28?$1.14Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?$3.05Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?$2.90Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 28?$1.90Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$2.42Jun 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?$3.00Jun 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?$1.04Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 25?$18.00Jun 26, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 25?$6.00Jun 26, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 26?$1.70Jun 26, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$2.15Jun 26, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 25?$0.00Jun 26, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.