0x19cd0abbc325290437eeed66b14d4aae04b3997a
0x19cd0abbc325290437eeed66b14d4aae04b3997a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
19289 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.0K
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
5868 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
3063 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
2691 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-969.70
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
1168 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-497.66
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-3.5)
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
800 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- AUSTRALIA
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$9.05Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$2.2KJul 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.2KJul 19, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$426.47Jul 17, 12:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.99Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$1.0KJul 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.1KJul 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$511.94Jul 11, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$103.73Jul 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$103.70Jul 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$103.49Jul 11, 13:34 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.98Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$531.36Jul 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1.4KJul 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$465.68Jul 7, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$467.12Jul 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$288.58Jul 7, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$253.97Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$346.46Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$186.05Jul 6, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $402.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.