0x19d14a458b2720ec5814dd09c93c217c4c649a5d
0x19d14a458b2720ec5814dd09c93c217c4c649a5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$98.12
Total PnL
$6.51
Realised
$2.76
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
26 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.65
$0.72
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
21 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.21
$1.66
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.53
$0.58
- NO
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.39
$0.42
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
10 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.33
$0.35
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.01
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jesus "Chuy" Garcia win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMarchWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2023?$0.00Apr 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Danuse Nerudova win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMVA-4 Special Election: McClellan (D) vs. Benjamin (R)$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election?$0.00Apr 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.00Apr 13, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.00Apr 1, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.00Mar 28, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$5.13Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$0.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.