Unused-Tournament
0x19d29fd94cec7edafc8d9fc46827d4735658aead
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$25.77
Total PnL
$-7.10
Realised
$-1.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.00
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.41
$0.41
- YES
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-14?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-12?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$264.09Nov 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$3.00Nov 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$3.00Nov 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$10.00Nov 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$268.90Nov 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$281.54Nov 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$283.60Nov 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?$4.00Nov 14, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$1.02Nov 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$1.06Nov 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Sep 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$1.00Sep 26, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$1.00Sep 26, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$2.00Sep 26, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUSDT depeg in 2025?$2.04Sep 26, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?$2.07Sep 26, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Sep 26, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high in April?$2.09Sep 26, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolves win on 2025-04-13?$5.00Sep 26, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win on 2025-04-14?$2.00Apr 5, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $31.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.