Experienced-Respect
0x19de30c1bf1152db0b36d5d548d6c9f6f485713e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$644.84
Realised
$-12.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
3500 shares @ 87.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$242.76
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 69.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$50.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
1518 shares @ 87.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$61.29
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$974.00
$114.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$972.00
$142.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$292.17
$46.20
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
313 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.75
$14.10
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.48
$19.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
750 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.49Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $640.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.