Separate-Draw
0x19e13dc6007fd5c0b965db9b2ec26a4ff8bd976d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$60.65
Total PnL
$-39.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.93
$-0.01
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.75
$12.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$0.42
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.25
$-12.75
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on April 22?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 23?
7 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.94Jul 22, 12:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.7KJul 22, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $29.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.