Hollow-Governance
0x19e20fc9a8b7af2c3d19ef5d329deb19a8cae979
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.40
Total PnL
$-4.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.35
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.34
$-0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?$1.35Jun 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?$1.34Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?$2.71May 31, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.01May 31, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.04May 31, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.18May 31, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.27May 31, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.67May 31, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.74May 31, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.17May 9, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.73Apr 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.26Apr 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.01Apr 15, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.39Mar 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.67Dec 30, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$2.10Dec 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.32Dec 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.03Dec 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.02Nov 28, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.