Mundane-Parable
0x19e9278c945119f1d5ef69768f3ad66f2cb6ed08
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$19.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12138 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$60.69
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
19485 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-876.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4AM ET
1163 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
355 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on September 1?
160 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on July 28?
156 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1?
132 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DIAMONDBACKS
Astros vs. Diamondbacks
119 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$797.00Mar 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$80.00Mar 16, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$704.82Mar 12, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.86Mar 12, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Mar 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$66.52Mar 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$28.00Mar 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.17Mar 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.33Mar 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$376.64Mar 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.63Mar 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.00Mar 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.95Mar 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.81Mar 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.58Mar 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$186.20Mar 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.16Mar 11, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.51Mar 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.51Mar 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.90Mar 11, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $122.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".