Excitable-Yin
0x19ea6595f69f491188a3529b2f7f9b9bc4062cd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$271.67
Total PnL
$-255.54
Realised
$1.16
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.99
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
542 shares @ 38.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.75
$-94.03
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 84.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.93
$0.72
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
291 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
276 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$0.02
- YES
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
189 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
189 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
189 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
189 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
189 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$652.94May 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$650.00May 6, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$496.04May 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$36.45May 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$56.21May 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$61.33May 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$207.78Apr 30, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.00Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.03Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$4.99Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.90Apr 29, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".