Other-Entrepreneur
0x19ee14b8f88b9d311f461cadd64214c5d2e0b48f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-59.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
8560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
3250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
638 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
231 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.35Feb 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$2.21Feb 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 3, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 3, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 3, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 29, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$1.00Jan 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$1.00Jan 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?$1.00Jan 29, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 29, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.