0x19ee66c834318dbff21d563f6841425bf892446c
0x19ee66c834318dbff21d563f6841425bf892446c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-13.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
2345 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?
1880 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-152.61
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1560 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1429 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1426 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-56.32
- YES
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1266 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1258 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 1+ goals$21.35Jun 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$117.61Jun 22, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$75.17Jun 21, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$85.45Jun 21, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$85.45Jun 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$49.39Jun 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$136.46Jun 20, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$404.86Jun 19, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$497.46Jun 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBesiktas vs. Fenerbahce$101.17Jun 19, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$18.20Jun 18, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$231.82Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$411.94Jun 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$99.05Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$213.18Jun 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$241.67Jun 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$241.37Jun 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$250.85Jun 18, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $118.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.