Thoughtful-Potential
0x19f41b7105a445188fbcd21422510802dee1007a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-15.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.22
$20.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$2.00Sep 26, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.07Sep 26, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$1.00Sep 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNepal intervention by September 30?$0.60Sep 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$7.00Sep 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event?$1.00Sep 11, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$2.56Sep 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNepal intervention by September 30?$6.00Sep 10, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$0.23Sep 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K September 1–7?$2.90Sep 4, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$3.50Sep 4, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.00Aug 27, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$0.00Aug 27, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$0.00Aug 27, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$14.29Aug 27, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$2.00Aug 19, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?$2.00Aug 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 19?$2.00Aug 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?$2.00Aug 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 18, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 26, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".