0x19f67a6f7748c08b93776579919949f32fd56b82
0x19f67a6f7748c08b93776579919949f32fd56b82
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$86.67
Total PnL
$8.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.88
$4.88
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.54
$3.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.88
$2.88
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$8.83
$2.94
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 10 2026?
12 shares @ 49.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.20
$2.20
- NO
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$7.41
$1.41
- YES
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
14 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$6.61
$0.61
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $171 Week of August 10 2026?
12 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$5.63
$-0.37
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.41
$0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $171 Week of August 10 2026?$6.12Aug 11, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$8.33Aug 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$6.23Aug 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 10 2026?$6.12Aug 10, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?$10.17Aug 9, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$6.00Aug 8, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 7, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$7.59Aug 7, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$0.00Aug 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$6.20Aug 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$6.21Aug 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?$6.00Aug 6, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 6, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$0.00Aug 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$6.00Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$6.00Aug 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$6.17Aug 5, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$6.21Aug 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.