Distorted-Fawn
0x19fed74ca55f59d8132fa4f74e01c1286a1a0496
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$19.95
Total PnL
$-99.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
46 shares @ 21.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1222 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
328 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.24Mar 31, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.00Mar 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$10.70Mar 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.08Mar 4, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have a #1 AI model this year?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sign any Executive Order week of October 24?$0.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Mar 4, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".