Wild-Scorn
0x19feee333933ec1011ae1072bf381e35eee2bea6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Tyler Paul Smith win the GA-14 special election?
283 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
283 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $280?
277 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.17
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$75 in January?
215 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.22
- YES
Will Martin Momtahan win the GA-14 special election?
210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,900,000 and 3,100,000?
204 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boston College Eagles (W)
200 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
185 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 11?
162 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $360?
159 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$23.66Jul 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$21.77Jul 19, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?$13.16Jul 6, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 24?$17.21Jul 6, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?$18.79Jul 6, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?$12.99Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?$18.11Jun 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 24?$16.99Jun 21, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$10.19Jun 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$4.65Jun 21, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)$442.00Apr 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)$335.92Apr 13, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election?$109.91Apr 8, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMFC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5$204.82Apr 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5$153.62Apr 1, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Spurs$134.00Apr 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Spurs$103.18Mar 25, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.06Mar 25, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$156.97Mar 25, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$142.84Mar 22, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $40.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.