Boiling-Circumstance
0x1a010ea9282b87f95f447f7465488fad428b9e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-927.58
Realised
$-281.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
14234 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-219.99
- YES
Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
10376 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
8017 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
4451 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 25, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$220.00Nov 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$50.00Nov 6, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$50.00Nov 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$367.83Nov 6, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 6, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$22.00Nov 6, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$200.00Nov 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$100.00Nov 5, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$100.00Nov 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$12.11Nov 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$19.71Nov 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$93.24Nov 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$6.90Nov 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$7.45Nov 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$14.90Nov 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$145.69Nov 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$3.60Nov 5, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $99.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".