Shrill-Bellows
0x1a01557e731cc5039a8124a3dadce206f2d2df01
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
7%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1796 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-125.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1432 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-52.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
1417 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-108.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
1326 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-138.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1211 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
1170 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-132.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
743 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-128.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
586 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
540 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
382 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-73.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners$40.54Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$30.34Jun 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$5.13Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.17Jun 12, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$30.30Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$10.20Jun 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$10.14Jun 8, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.85Jun 5, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$7.00Jun 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.85Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.92Jun 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.68Jun 5, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.04May 31, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.40May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.27May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.33May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.14May 28, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.14May 28, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$8.33May 27, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.00May 27, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 92 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
92 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.