Careful-Bureau
0x1a1c8cfbd87c386fe55552fbf6d3524c33072bcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$41.61
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
293 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
179 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- EALA
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko
170 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-74.80
- YES
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
139 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-41.08
- NORRIE
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot
139 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- HUNTER
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunter
137 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-67.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- PARKS
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkova
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?
120 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-29.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?$49.99Oct 31, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkova$50.00Oct 31, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$13.93Oct 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Wings vs. Kings$113.92Oct 31, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Kings$49.99Oct 31, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Warriors (-6.5)$51.73Oct 30, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5$46.80Oct 30, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$166.65Oct 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$43.33Oct 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko$74.80Oct 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot$50.00Oct 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunter$12.08Oct 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLChennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunter$47.57Oct 30, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$13.79Oct 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$16.10Oct 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunter$85.50Oct 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLJiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova$99.90Oct 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova$35.00Oct 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Suns$35.60Oct 30, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5$60.00Oct 30, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".