Familiar-Salmon
0x1a237542e48d7a7e6c3f4b07b5308d33d8d3fa9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
23/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-342.79
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- SUNS
Suns vs. Thunder
5160 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-346.42
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NUGGETS
Rockets vs. Nuggets
540 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-218.21
- CELTICS
Pistons vs. Celtics
350 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-113.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
348 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.13
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
230 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
144 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Mavericks
100 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-27.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
63 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.