Fixed-Haven
0x1a34b52b322f291ee668e197b6e307cd4273630d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$96.69
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$5.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 29.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.13
$-52.66
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
50 shares @ 43.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$25.50
$4.00
- YES
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.30
$0.10
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$15.10
$-2.10
- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$4.90
$1.90
- NO
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.70
$-0.90
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.37
$-0.45
- YES
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.69
$-0.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3PM ET
4697 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
2070 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$76.27Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$45.92Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.93Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$32.44Jul 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$33.00Jul 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$1.68Jul 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$10.94Jul 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$15.12Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$1.38Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$26.95Jul 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$3.64Jul 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$10.36Jul 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$45.56Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$25.26Jul 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$24.30Jul 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$3.62Jul 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$10.82Jul 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$0.25Jul 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$14.68Jul 15, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $27.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.