Judicious-Watcher
0x1a4249cd596a8e51b267dfe3c56cacc25815a00b
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.0K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
28%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8PM ET
1483 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-971.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET
1130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-564.81
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET
933 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-255.85
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET
719 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-159.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9PM ET
713 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-360.08
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 6PM ET
691 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-160.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 4AM ET
628 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-470.83
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ET
614 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-257.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
599 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-491.05
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 20, 7PM ET
584 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-73.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 10PM ET$3.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 5, 1AM ET$5.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 3, 6PM ET$5.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 9PM ET$13.30Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 3, 10PM ET$14.28Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 3, 12PM ET$14.79Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 3, 10AM ET$17.80Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 4, 8PM ET$22.35Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 3, 10PM ET$25.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ET$30.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 3, 8AM ET$33.05Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 3, 1PM ET$35.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 5, 1AM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 4, 4AM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 4, 10PM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 4, 2AM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 4, 6AM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 4, 8PM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$40.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
47 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.