Fortunate-Instrumentation
0x1a44c5a7e4c453048c5367dbae52e3b08c3af79b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-264.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?
215 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-31.95
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
187 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-29.87
- YES
Will Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?
146 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-23.28
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-33.53
- YES
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?
88 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-24.65
- YES
Will South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass?
43 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-28.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$29.87Oct 29, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$30.00Oct 29, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?$23.28Oct 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?$22.00Oct 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$45.28Oct 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$14.81Oct 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$35.00Oct 6, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$24.65Oct 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$24.65Oct 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$33.53Oct 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?$23.70Oct 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?$9.82Oct 4, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wisconsin be the tipping point state?$31.95Oct 4, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?$0.00Oct 2, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz say "Yale" during the debate?$0.00Oct 2, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?$13.51Oct 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?$10.00Oct 1, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass?$28.73Sep 30, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?$1.43Sep 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz say "Yale" during the debate?$10.00Sep 29, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $22.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".