Stained-Hen
0x1a45f877b6327e863981ba267a966d31be42c0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$19.19
Total PnL
$-25.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 24?$17.27Mar 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?$27.82Mar 18, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 11?$39.29Mar 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 11?$22.73Mar 11, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$13.96Feb 26, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$3.72Feb 16, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$20.44Feb 15, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$39.80Feb 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$24.28Feb 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$15.34Jan 28, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 25, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.2KJan 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.2KJan 24, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 13?$0.00Jan 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 13?$21.73Jan 12, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 23, 12PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Canadiens$33.94Dec 26, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Capitals$38.98Dec 26, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 23, 12PM ET$25.60Dec 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Canadiens$21.04Dec 18, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $153.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.