Tricky-Kettledrum
0x1a4c2c640a8737ddf50a209ae5c7bf91f4fb9230
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.01
Total PnL
$-7.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 1+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will 1+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.19
$0.67
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
33 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?$1.55Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?$5.00Jun 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.01Dec 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$6.77Nov 22, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.66Nov 22, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$2.12Nov 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.95Nov 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Nov 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 15, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.