0x1a5afabb295fa499cdb3837069d1736cbef6c253
0x1a5afabb295fa499cdb3837069d1736cbef6c253
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$29.83
Total PnL
$-7.69
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
7 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.63
$0.28
- NO
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$5.66
$0.11
- NO
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.95
$0.05
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.52
$0.11
- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.91
$0.06
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.84
$0.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Bitcoin all time high in May?
9 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $2.00Oct 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.26Oct 16, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?$4.90Oct 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?$2.85Oct 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.20Oct 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?$0.56Oct 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$0.68Oct 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$3.41Oct 16, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opensea launch a token by October 31? $5.55Oct 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.60Oct 16, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$6.35Oct 16, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released in 2025?$1.46Aug 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBezos divorce in 2025?$1.88Aug 16, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$1.74Aug 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$1.73Jul 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$1.45Jul 12, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.