Annual-Bathroom
0x1a5de229d907a6123426726c670692440241a898
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$22.62
Total PnL
$-694.82
Realised
$-17.44
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.62
$2.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
402 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
174 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
61 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
58 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
38/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $70.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.