Lumbering-Den
0x1a5eecd61e5c177c5e2e373b318fec0aab44004a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.08
Total PnL
$-5.26
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$1.23
$0.00
- YES
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.22
$0.01
- NO
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Megaquake in October?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$1.14
$0.00
- YES
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2025$1.14
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mira Murati join Anthropic?$1.23Oct 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$1.08Oct 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in October?$1.15Oct 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$1.19Oct 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.18Oct 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$1.15Oct 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$1.20Oct 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.18Oct 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$1.15Oct 29, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.16Oct 29, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.11Oct 29, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$1.13Oct 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCrystal Palace wins the Premier League?$1.20Oct 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$1.14Oct 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$1.23Oct 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.24Oct 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ja Morant lead the NBA in Assists?$1.21Oct 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$1.05Oct 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.24Oct 29, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEM Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?$1.18Oct 29, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $237.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".