Tricky-Fashion
0x1a69faa70ded94cd82dc747ed26cea3c511789f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.26
Total PnL
$-6.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 36.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.72
$1.72
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- TIGERS
Mariners vs. Tigers
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$1.00Feb 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?$1.00Feb 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?$1.00Oct 29, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 29, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Oct 29, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$1.03Oct 9, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$1.85Oct 9, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Celtics$13.89Oct 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.00Oct 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 11?$1.00Oct 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$1.00Sep 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Sep 19, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$1.00Jul 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Knicks$1.00Jul 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Tigers$5.00Jul 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?$1.00Jul 11, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrudeau resigns by Friday?$0.00Jul 11, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $170.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.