Stained-Chair
0x1a6c9ba02134f890c3de8a8f209fa9b3abc65789
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$13.97
Total PnL
$-273.69
Realised
$-27.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.12
$-12.88
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
91 shares @ 10.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.85
$-3.15
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
741 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
705 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
694 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in January 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$18.00Mar 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$28.00Mar 2, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$1.29Jan 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$0.25Jan 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$0.20Jan 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$0.85Jan 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$5.79Jan 27, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$5.77Jan 27, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$15.00Jan 26, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$15.00Jan 26, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$14.00Jan 26, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$14.00Jan 26, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$18.00Jan 26, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$10.00Jan 26, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$27.29Jan 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" during dedication ceremony on Friday?$30.00Jan 16, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$15.00Jan 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 16, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.