Equal-Instructor
0x1a753c2190afb6194e16b141d7712a47d0f41f36
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$76.66
Total PnL
$-102.19
Realised
$-3.21
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
66 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$65.39
$0.03
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.60 August 17-23?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.8¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$11.27
$-1.14
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
86 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-43.87
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
51 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.23
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$65.36Aug 20, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$65.35Aug 18, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 August 17-23?$12.41Aug 17, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.30 August 10-16?$0.80Aug 17, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.40 August 10-16?$1.80Aug 17, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.30 August 10-16?$9.81Aug 17, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.30 August 10-16?$9.79Aug 14, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.30 August 10-16?$0.80Aug 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.40 August 10-16?$1.80Aug 14, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.20 August 3-9?$12.39Aug 10, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$65.15Aug 9, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 August 3-9?$12.38Aug 9, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$77.53Aug 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$77.14Jul 26, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill no MrBeast video be posted?$77.08Jul 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$76.79Jul 9, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$76.86Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$76.78Jul 5, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?$20.00Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.25 on June 29?$56.78Jun 30, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $30.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.