Novel-Mound
0x1a7af34616803793d511c68ae64cf167940babb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$69.33
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
70 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.33
$1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 37-38°F on December 3?
5700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-77.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 6?
5400 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-129.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 27-28°F on December 5?
5000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-40.38
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons
2100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-567.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- PACERS
Nuggets vs. Pacers
1770 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-460.20
- COMMANDERS
Bears vs. Commanders
1250 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-862.50
- BILLS
Bills vs. Falcons
1200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-792.00
- MISSOURI
Alabama vs. Missouri
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$68.25May 19, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00May 19, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$90.00Apr 22, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$5.00Mar 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$6.35Mar 8, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$96.60Feb 23, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$80.00Feb 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$6.84Jan 23, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$75.84Jan 6, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$20.00Jan 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$19.92Dec 20, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$29.99Dec 20, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Timberwolves$500.00Dec 7, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?$69.00Dec 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Timberwolves$405.00Dec 6, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 6?$9.60Dec 6, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 6?$5.00Dec 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 6?$4.00Dec 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 6?$6.00Dec 6, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $69.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".