Acrobatic-Sunlamp
0x1a7c200a3bde11ff5495c49130c70587b4275cd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$128.40
Total PnL
$-5.83
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$38.04
$0.04
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$30.04
$0.09
- NO
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
14 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$13.69
$0.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$4.16
$0.16
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.42
$0.01
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$3.08May 4, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.03Apr 28, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.