Edible-Umbrella
0x1a80abf7f97b9c62a719ff670e5434951b874055
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.21
Total PnL
$-11.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 83.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.09
$0.09
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 11?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 16?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.93Jun 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jun 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.00Jun 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$1.02Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.06Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$1.00Jun 8, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.00Jun 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01Jun 8, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.26Jun 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01Jun 5, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.50Jun 5, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.69Jun 5, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.63Jun 5, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.13Jun 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.03Jun 4, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.04Jun 4, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.