Grown-Payoff
0x1a85e4accc3760e079b6e74cf23b91b34208d33a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 51% and 53%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?
413 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?$1.75Nov 23, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$5.88Nov 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambio por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?$1.00Nov 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?$1.00Nov 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win between 28% and 32% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win less than 20% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 51% and 53%?$1.00Nov 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?$1.00Nov 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?$1.00Nov 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambio por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?$1.00Nov 11, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.