Ill-Fated-Shoelace
0x1a8b893eb2ee0ac33ed6e9220189805938e3f77c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-580.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
494 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-90.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Hannity town hall?
475 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2024$0.00
$-208.29
- YES
Will the debate have less than 50 million viewers?
349 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?
329 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-113.76
- YES
Will the debate have 50-55 million viewers?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Wednesday speech?
280 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Trump announce VP pick during the debate?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump announce VP pick before the debate?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Zuckerberg" or "Zuck" during Pennsylvania rally?
120 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2024$0.00
$-20.40
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during Wednesday speech?
80 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$90.40Apr 2, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?$85.71Apr 2, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$4.00Oct 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?$15.00Oct 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?$8.87Sep 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?$11.10Sep 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?$79.98Sep 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?$13.81Sep 9, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$4.32Sep 11, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?$0.00Sep 11, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?$176.19Sep 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the debate have 50-55 million viewers?$15.00Sep 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the debate have less than 50 million viewers?$10.00Sep 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Springfield" at debate?$63.71Sep 11, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?$105.57Sep 10, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Springfield" at debate?$15.00Sep 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?$341.00Sep 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Hannity town hall?$167.71Sep 5, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "border czar" during Hannity town hall?$167.71Sep 5, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $101.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".