Coordinated-Craftsman
0x1a925076b74d2d6134ace8fa1219b248da1635bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$26.55
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-12.21
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
100 shares @ 26.1¢·now 26.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.25
$0.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 23?
67 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.30
$-4.66
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 25?
386 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?
371 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 25?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 5?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 18?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 23?$0.99Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 23?$4.03Jul 23, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 23?$0.11Jul 23, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?$1.65Jul 22, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.13Jul 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.12Jul 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.23Jul 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.04Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.