Crooked-Sister
0x1a93ed90452e38b4a481460f4f6c05bbf4df24e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$287.10
Total PnL
$197.52
Realised
$78.28
Win rate
100%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$24.73
$22.74
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$16.87
$15.38
- YES
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 40.2¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$16.75
$15.26
- YES
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 40.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$16.71
$15.22
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
43 shares @ 3.6¢·now 36.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$15.70
$14.14
- YES
Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 36.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$15.04
$13.55
- YES
Will Pierre Gasly achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 30.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$12.54
$11.05
- YES
Will Liam Lawson achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 27.6¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$11.50
$10.01
- YES
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 27.6¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$11.50
$10.01
- YES
Will Arvid Lindblad achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
42 shares @ 3.6¢·now 27.6¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$11.50
$10.01
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 15?$9.33Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 15?$6.99Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 15?$7.59Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in NYC on July 15?$11.28Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?$8.79Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$9.11Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?$9.84Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 15?$5.00Jul 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?$4.23Jul 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 15?$3.77Jul 14, 22:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in NYC on July 15?$15.39Jul 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 15?$12.58Jul 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 15?$11.54Jul 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 15?$13.33Jul 14, 21:03 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Seoul on July 15?$16.84Jul 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 15?$16.62Jul 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?$12.79Jul 14, 18:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on July 16?$5.71Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 16?$4.39Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?$4.45Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.