Fitting-Pitch
0x1a9cf2fa3ec898a9e3e5bbcf21e1274765d8c82f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
206 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
198 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?
179 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?
159 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?
131 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?
102 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 30?
96 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 12?
91 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 29?
86 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?
79 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 12?$1.75Jul 11, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?$217.14Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?$214.10Jul 5, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$72.86Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$3.27Jun 2, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$206.91May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$0.24May 24, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$204.81May 24, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?$19.80May 17, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 18?$233.64May 10, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 27?$34.71Apr 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 27?$33.32Apr 27, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$1.73Apr 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 18?$231.07Apr 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?$3.58Apr 17, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of April 6 2026?$183.97Apr 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 15?$1.44Apr 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?$2.68Apr 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of April 6 2026?$0.33Apr 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of April 6 2026?$181.62Apr 10, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $55.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.