Portly-Confectionery
0x1aa68f33d0fa5743095ab9c080edb38281290b79
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$206.26
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$43.11
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
200 shares @ 98.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$186.50
$-11.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?
20 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.76
$0.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1274 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C on February 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -8°C or below on February 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
793 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
570 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
500 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-498.30
- NO
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
493 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
461 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$197.91Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$56.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$103.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$150.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$195.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$298.80Jun 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$98.90Jun 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$29.23Jun 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$23.64Jun 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?$19.56Jun 10, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$48.90Jun 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$49.35Jun 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$102.51Jun 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$193.70Jun 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$98.86Jun 10, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$112.00Jun 10, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$200.00Jun 10, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $75.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.