Tough-Ice
0x1ab6f5cb738eccdddc220242c16ebf5945789c7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 2?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 13?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
505 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 14?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
353 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 6?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$105.11Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$105.01Jun 2, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$105.11May 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$105.01May 25, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$105.11May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$105.01May 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$105.11May 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$105.01May 10, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$105.11May 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$105.01May 6, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$104.10May 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$103.01May 3, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?$5.00May 3, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$99.10May 3, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$1.00May 3, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$99.00Apr 29, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.10Apr 29, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?$5.00Apr 29, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$106.10Apr 29, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$106.00Apr 27, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $74.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".