Pure-Eyeliner
0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$657.04
Total PnL
$437.61
Realised
$367.50
Win rate
92%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 1?
227 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$223.93
$223.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?
102 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$49.94
$-4.08
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
109 shares @ 30.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.52
$13.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?
37 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$36.73
$1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?
34 shares @ 0.0¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.38
$29.38
- NO
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
29 shares @ 0.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.66
$25.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?
102 shares @ 0.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.97
$24.97
- NO
Will Aniya Harvey win Love Island USA Season 8?
26 shares @ 93.6¢·now 87.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.55
$-1.46
- NO
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
34 shares @ 0.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.77
$20.77
- NO
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
21 shares @ 0.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$17.85
$17.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?$36.86Jul 1, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?$3.80Jul 1, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?$4.77Jul 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?$3.45Jul 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?$0.11Jul 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?$0.76Jul 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?$6.33Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?$4.38Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?$0.02Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?$0.81Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?$0.51Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 1?$3.85Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 1?$0.01Jul 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?$0.16Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.