Likely-Denim
0x1ad77357fb2a05dd8bcae8dc367ae47528c415b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-234.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
909 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-98.56
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
372 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-98.57
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
51 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?$0.00Jan 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?$36.01Jan 20, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$36.01Jan 20, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$36.01Jan 20, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$36.01Jan 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$98.56Jan 18, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$98.57Jan 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$28.51Jan 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Arouca win on 2026-01-17?$28.51Jan 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Arouca win on 2026-01-17?$9.99Jan 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?$9.99Jan 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?$240.34Jan 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?$2.80Jan 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)$0.01Jan 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)$10.00Jan 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)$10.00Jan 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)$243.13Jan 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)$213.59Jan 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$1.00Jan 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?$0.22Jan 17, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $94.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".