Wallet digest

active

Activity score

55/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$15.02

Total PnL

$-6.82

Realised

$-2.85

Win rate

33%

15 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
7 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$7.21
$6.56
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
4 shares @ 22.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$4.30
$3.32
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$1.43
$1.15
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$1.05
$0.81
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$1.03
$0.83
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-1.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
4 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-0.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-0.94
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.95
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.95

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.63Apr 20, 17:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 17:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.61Apr 20, 17:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 17:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.66Apr 20, 14:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 14:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Apr 20, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 14:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 20, 14:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.01Apr 20, 14:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.39Apr 20, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 14:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.50Apr 20, 14:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 14:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.32Apr 20, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 13:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.92Apr 20, 13:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 13:52 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.07Apr 20, 13:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 13:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence50 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry18 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $0.86
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 20, 12:37 UTC
Last active: Apr 20, 17:21 UTC
Win rate sample: 15 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:54:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data