Silent-Bolt
0x1ae26dfe2974ce44064f2a821cbdc71bb0cc496a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
3217 shares @ 60.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$3.2K
$1.3K
- NO
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
1792 shares @ 47.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$1.8K
$942.32
- YES
[Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1715 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-141.96
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
1586 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022?
1535 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- CRYPTOPUNKS
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022?
1491 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
1308 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022?
847 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- REPUBLICAN
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
746 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
- REPUBLICAN
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?
707 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season?$117.12Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the floor price of Doodles be 17 ETH or more on April 17?$0.00Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMzkSync airdrop by June 1?$33.33Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?$0.00Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?$0.00Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?$0.00Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 12, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.