Warm-Cinnamon
0x1af736dbf576b8e2872d7a9ba658154c48737fe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$3.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
2568 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1296 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1003 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 9-15?
817 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 29?
700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
505 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
430 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
423 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
384 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$50.00Mar 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$18.75Mar 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$55.56Mar 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$15.00Mar 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$8.08Mar 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.18Mar 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$3.09Mar 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$27.00Mar 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$15.00Mar 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$20.00Mar 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$20.00Mar 15, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$20.00Mar 15, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".