Known-Contrary
0x1afc9ee5389099469d6701e005b3dc2d5b28f64a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.29
Total PnL
$-44.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$0.02
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 2?
4247 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 8?
1099 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 7?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?
1088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 9?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.64Jun 5, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?$2.11Jun 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$2.15May 25, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 15?$2.13May 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$2.13May 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 7?$0.01May 7, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 7?$2.16May 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?$2.13May 4, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 30?$2.13Apr 30, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 26, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 23?$1.1KApr 26, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 23?$1.1KApr 23, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?$1.1KApr 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?$1.1KApr 22, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 22?$1.1KApr 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 22?$1.1KApr 22, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 21?$1.1KApr 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 21?$1.1KApr 21, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $356.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.