Intent-Conga
0x1b07a6889351196d36ba1088251baeac697f8e5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$191.12
Total PnL
$-4.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
50 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.55
$0.10
- NO
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.35
$-1.89
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
51 shares @ 96.6¢·now 90.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.98
$-3.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$49.45Jun 25, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$0.43Jun 24, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$17.09Jun 24, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$17.09Jun 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$12.39Jun 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$108.70Jun 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$105.11Jun 16, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$51.00Jun 16, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?$50.23Jun 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$49.73May 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?$42.58May 26, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?$7.09May 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$47.72May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$1.74May 22, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMAstros vs. Diamondbacks$0.00May 21, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMPadres vs. Marlins$0.00May 21, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBraves vs. Rangers$0.00May 21, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMPirates vs. Giants$0.00May 21, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jays vs. Tigers$0.00May 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$27.47May 16, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $199.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.