Kindhearted-Snake
0x1b0ff58072069b4d86149924322ca830e00cbdf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-181.47
Realised
$-2.62
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
4791 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.37
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
3667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
2533 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
2106 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?$9.25Aug 7, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?$152.55Aug 7, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?$10.21Aug 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?$101.28Aug 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?$50.64Aug 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?$20.30Aug 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?$10.15Aug 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$7.50Aug 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$8.02Aug 5, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$11.57Aug 5, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $80 in July?$33.90Jul 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$10.64Jul 20, 18:58 UTC
- MERGEWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.75Jul 20, 09:30 UTC
- SPLITWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.75Jul 20, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$14.00Jul 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$10.38Jul 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$5.00Jul 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jul 19, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jul 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Jul 19, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.